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Pawel Gmyrek

Senior Researcher

Generative AI  Automation  Technology and jobs  Occupational structures  Labour compliance  Multilateral funding  Aid effectiveness

Research Assets List

Other publication - Working Paper   Open access

by Paweł GmyrekMariana Viollaz and Hernan Winkler

Published 2026

This paper examines how Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) may affect labour markets across 135 countries, covering around two-thirds of global employment. It focuses on how exposure differs between advanced and developing economies, and how digital infrastructure and task composition shape the balance between automation risks and productivity gains.

Other publication - Research Brief   Open access

by Pawel GmyrekJanine BergKarol KaminskiFilip KonopczyńskiAgnieszka ŁadnaBalint NafradiKonrad Rosłaniec and Marek Troszyński

Published 2025

Cette note de recherche résume un document de travail de l'OIT qui affine l’évaluation mondiale de l’exposition des professions à l’intelligence artificielle générative. Elle présente une méthodologie actualisée combinant données par tâches, expertise humaine et prédictions d’IA pour appuyer une analyse plus précise de l’impact potentiel de l’IA générative sur l’emploi.

Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

by Pawel GmyrekJanine Berg and David Bescond

Published 2025

Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, 323, 3, 6 - 30

This study presents a global analysis of the potential effects of generative AI on employment. Using the GPT-4 model, we estimate task-level exposure scores and assess their potential employment impacts globally and across country income groups. We find that clerical work is the only broad...

Other publication - Research Brief   Open access

by Pawel GmyrekJanine BergKarol KaminskiFilip KonopczyńskiAgnieszka ŁadnaBalint NafradiKonrad Rosłaniec and Marek Troszyński

Published 2025

Esta nota de investigación presenta un documento de trabajo de la OIT que mejora la evaluación global de la exposición ocupacional a la inteligencia artificial generativa. Ofrece una metodología actualizada que combina datos por tarea, aportes de expertos y predicciones de IA para respaldar un análisis más preciso del posible impacto de la IA generativa en el empleo.FacebookXLinkedin

Other publication - Research Brief   Open access

by Pawel GmyrekJanine BergKarol KaminskiFilip KonopczyńskiAgnieszka ŁadnaBalint NafradiKonrad Rosłaniec and Marek Troszyński

Published 2025

Generative AI and jobs : a refined global index of occupational exposure

This brief summarises an ILO Working paper that refines the global assessment of occupational exposure to generative AI. It presents an updated methodology combining task-level data, expert input, and AI predictions to support more accurate analysis of GenAI’s potential impact on jobs.

Other publication - Working Paper   Open access

by Pawel GmyrekJanine BergKarol KamińskiFilip KonopczyńskiAgnieszka ŁadnaBalint NafradiKonrad Rosłaniec and Marek Troszyński

Published 2025

Generative AI and jobs : a 2025 update

Other publication - Research Brief   Open access

by Janine BergPawel GmyrekMargherita LicataTinovimbanashe Gwenyaya and Freytes, Scaiano, Martín Sánchez

Published 2025

The brief explores the transformative impact of Generative AI (GenAI) on the media and culture industry, analyzing its effects on job exposure, skills demand, and employment conditions. It highlights the need for policy frameworks, ethical AI governance, and social dialogue to mitigate risks such as job displacement and ensure fair compensation and creative control for workers.

Journal article   Open access

by Pawel GmyrekChristoph Lutz and Gemma Newlands

Published 08/2024

British Journal of Industrial Relations, 1 - 29

Other publication - Research Brief   Open access

by Pawel Gmyrek and Poleth Vega Ruales

Published 2024

Other publication - Working Paper   Open access

by Pawel GmyrekChristoph Lutz and Gemma Newlands

Published 2024

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