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A global forecast of absolute poverty and employment
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A global forecast of absolute poverty and employment

Michael Hopkins
International labour review, Vol.119(5), pp.565-577
1980

Abstract

economic forecast projection unemployment poverty growth rate trend methodology basic needs food requirements evaluation technique employment creation full employment statistical table developing countries
Article attempting an economic forecast and projection of unemployment and absolute poverty between 1974 and 2000 in developing countries, based on current growth rate trends - discusses methodology (basic needs vs food requirements poverty line, evaluation technique), and concludes that employment creation will have to grow at an annual rate of 3.9 per cent to achieve full employment in year 2000. Diagram, references and statistical tables.
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