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Tariff rises, trade tensions and labour markets: employment impacts and policy implications
Other publication - Research Brief   Open access

Tariff rises, trade tensions and labour markets: employment impacts and policy implications

Christoph Ernst, Gabriel Michelena and Pablo Bertin
ILO brief. Research brief, ILO
2026
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54394/00034636
Appears in  ILO Briefs

Abstract

tariff trade labour market impact evaluation
Rising tariffs and escalating trade tensions do not protect jobs—they risk destroying them. A new ILO analysis examines how different tariff scenarios could affect employment across countries and groups of workers, highlighting the far-reaching labour-market consequences of an increasingly uncertain global trading environment.
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