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Disruption without dividend?: how the digital divide and task differences split GenAI’s global impact
Other publication - Working Paper   Open access

Disruption without dividend?: how the digital divide and task differences split GenAI’s global impact

Paweł Gmyrek, Mariana Viollaz and Hernan Winkler
ILO working paper, 166, ILO
2026
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54394/00033147

Abstract

artificial intelligence labour market analysis access to information technology labour productivity countries
This paper examines how Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) may affect labour markets across 135 countries, covering around two-thirds of global employment. It focuses on how exposure differs between advanced and developing economies, and how digital infrastructure and task composition shape the balance between automation risks and productivity gains.
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